Plus, Angers has played decent soccer against top-half sides at home. In seven such outings, it has a Plus, the Angers attack carries a unique statistical advantage into this head-to-head affair. Per Opta , it has attempted the seventh-most shots off set piece situations in Ligue 1, while Lille has allowed the sixth-most shots in the league action via dead-ball situations.
Add in the fact Angers could see some positive offensive regression based on its home performances this season — it has scored 16 goals on 19 xG so far — and I believe this is a good upset pick. The other key edge for the Merseyside club is how the midweek Champions League fixtures played out. The Reds secured a convincing victory over Benfica, which should keep all attention on this match.
You will not get this sort of price on Liverpool very often, and when you add everything up, I think this is a great spot to back the live underdog. ET AC Milan finds itself atop the Serie A table with just seven matches remaining in the season, but the underlying statistics suggest it has been quite fortunate to be there. Milan is just fourth in xG difference per 90 minutes, because its attack has greatly over-performed the xG with excellent finishing in front of net. Rossoneri have kept five consecutive clean sheets, but was fortunate to not concede in three of those games.
On the other side, Torino has conceded just Milan is one of the best transition teams when given space to attack into, but Torino is a pretty conservative, possession team and more than capable of defending without the ball.
The club is best in the league when it comes to pressing intensity and second in preventing the ball from getting into their own penalty area. The must-have app for Soccer bettors The best soccer betting scoreboard Free picks from proven pros Live win probabilities for your bets How would you rate this article?
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They had a lead at half-time against Cardiff and Nottingham, but they lost at the end, and they were one-goal down away from home to Luton after half-time, and they somehow managed to overturn the game and won. Peterborough is one of the worst teams in this league. Barnsley was struggling, but they started to collect points, Reading too, Derby played very well for the major part of the season, and Peterborough is the only team without a good run this season.
In the last 17 games, they manage to keep only one clean sheet, and the good thing is that they start to score goals. They scored five in the last three games. To put that into perspective — they scored three goals in 10 games before that. Peterborough put a great performance away from home against Bournemouth and came home with a point. Everyone expects that they will collect four or six points against Stoke and Swansea at home because both teams are in a very bad run.
But, the Posh return to their standards and have won only a point from those games. They are 24th in the league with 23 points, and they are on -7 from the safe zone. All three teams are in the top 7. Peterborough won both of them with and Christopher Willock will probably miss this game because of the injury he suffered against Nottingham during the week.
The striker Ricky-Jade Jones is out for Peterborough. Adults only. Don't let gambling become a problem in your life. Check our responsible gambling page for more info. You can do this on Betfair, or maybe take QPR with any kind of start. QPR are home, and are desperate, a dangerous combination for a team that is very much improving from the catastrophe that has been their season start.
Manager Mark Hughes was shown the door and former Tottenham boss Harry Redknapp has been tasked with the rescue, and although they have lost their last 2, they could well have done better. They certainly are capable of springing a surprise, and if you remember last season, they did so in this very fixture, coming from down to score 3 in the last 15 minutes for the win.
Liverpool are down in 10th after a loss at Stoke where they led thanks to a very early penalty. This side does not have any of my confidence, for while their previous match saw them beat Fulham , they did lose the game before that, to shoddy Aston Villa by a margin.
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Liverpool are 7th in the Premier League and have to bridge a ten point gap to Arsenal in the final Champions League place, although they may feel this is an opportunity to do so with the Gunners facing a tough trip to Everton. They have a away record this season, winning more games than they have at Anfield, while scoring 15 goals and conceding A home loss to Arsenal in a game they dominated kind of summed up Liverpool's season, particularly at Anfield, and they had lost 3 consecutive Premier League games before beating Everton last week.
The Reds have won just 1 of their last 6 away games in the Premier League, and they have lost 4 of their last 5. Glen Johnson looks set to miss another game, while Craig Bellamy will need to pass a late fitness test. Prediction If QPR really have ambitions in staying in the Premier League this season, they need to start winning games soon and this may look like an opportunity to do so against a Liverpool team that has struggled away from home in the Premier League in recent games.
QPR have a front two that should produce goals in Djibril Cisse and Bobby Zamora, but they seem to have had a lot of bad luck affecting them recently, while they struggle defensively to keep clean sheets. I can't recommend Liverpool at odds on considering their away form in the Premier League, although they are a different prospect with Steven Gerrard running things in the middle of the park, something we saw in their win over Everton last week. With neither side really inspiring much confidence in their ability to secure the three points, particularly at the prices available, I did consider picking QPR not to lose this game and give their survival chances a little boost.
However, Liverpool are a tougher team to beat with Gerrard in the side and I think backing goals in this game is probably a safer option than either side. Liverpool have not been as good defensively away from home in recent weeks, but they have shown they can get goals as proven from the fact that they scored at Bolton and Manchester United in losing efforts and also scored 3 at Wolves.
In the previous nine games, they have won only twice, and they are in one of the teams with the worst form in the league. The pressure to win three points on Sunday will be even bigger. QPR has been very unpredictable in the last couple of games. They had a lead at half-time against Cardiff and Nottingham, but they lost at the end, and they were one-goal down away from home to Luton after half-time, and they somehow managed to overturn the game and won.
Peterborough is one of the worst teams in this league. Barnsley was struggling, but they started to collect points, Reading too, Derby played very well for the major part of the season, and Peterborough is the only team without a good run this season. In the last 17 games, they manage to keep only one clean sheet, and the good thing is that they start to score goals. They scored five in the last three games. To put that into perspective — they scored three goals in 10 games before that.
Peterborough put a great performance away from home against Bournemouth and came home with a point. Everyone expects that they will collect four or six points against Stoke and Swansea at home because both teams are in a very bad run. But, the Posh return to their standards and have won only a point from those games. They are 24th in the league with 23 points, and they are on -7 from the safe zone.
All three teams are in the top 7.
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