Jude Championship. World No. Open champion Matt Fitzpatrick are at Now covering the sport from a broader perspective, McDonald still likes to dip his toes into the betting pools on a weekly basis on the PGA Tour. At last week's FedEx St. And while Finau continued his stellar play, Zalatoris was better, winning the tournament while Finau tied for fifth.
The expert also touted Joaquin Niemann, who was priced at and tied for 13th. Now, McDonald has studied the BMW Championship field and is locking in his best bets, top sleepers and favorites to avoid. Now that the BMW Championship field is locked, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10, times, and the results were surprising.
Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard. Top BMW Championship predictions One major surprise the model is calling for at the BMW Championship: Cantlay, the defending champion and one of the top favorites, stumbles and finishes outside the top-five. Cantlay has been one of the hottest players on tour in recent weeks, finishing T-8 or better in three of his last four starts. He's recorded a total of 10 top finishes this season, which includes a victory at the Zurich Classic, the PGA Tour's only team event.
However, Cantlay struggled mightily last week at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, finishing T after shooting over par in his final two rounds. In addition, Cantlay currently ranks 96th in driving accuracy percentage He's not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the BMW Championship field. Another surprise: Xander Schauffele, an longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.
It's hard to find many holes in Schauffele's golf game right now. In fact, Schauffele enters this week's event ranked inside the top in birdie average 4. His ability to consistently drain putts has allowed Schauffele to rack up birdies this season. Schauffele also ranks 12th in greens in regulation percentage Those impressive stats, plus his long odds, make Schauffele a strong play for your BMW Championship bets.
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We like Luiten as our final tip this week. Siem got the big upset win after a sensational tournament — although holy crap what a poor fourth round. Tommy Fleetwood — man. He shot a 71, 67 and 69 in the last rounds, but a 78 in the first round to put him at If he had just had a better first round? Who knows. Luiten actually came close to a cash for us.
He did what we hoped for with a 64 3rd round, but 72s in the 1st round and 4th round cost us. That could have been a good cash but oh well it happens. Though we can take encouragement from a strong book of correlating form, with Waring having finished 3rd in the Dunhill Links, 3rd in Portugal and 6th in Abu Dhabi. Waring is one of the most in-form players in the field with three top 10s in six starts and if he can continue to combine the strong ball-striking with solid putting, not only can he get himself in the mix again but a victory would very much be on the cards.
He proved that by finishing 4th, following on from a 3rd place finish in the Cazoo Open a week earlier. As mentioned last week, Paratore has been showing some small positive signs in recent weeks with the ball-striking, with his typically strong short-game remaining in good shape. This was once again on show last week, as he ranked 19th in approach after round one and 37th off-the-tee. With no stats from his second round at Masereene Golf Club available. Providing further proof of a player who is starting to hit the ball much better If he can transfer that to this more favourable setup this week, which is on show from a 5th place debut performance in and four made cuts from five subsequent starts at Albatross Golf Resort, Paratore would have every chance of improving further on those last two results.
His year so far has been a story of two halves. He was solid enough in the earlier part of the year but struggled to make real noise at the top of the leaderboard due to some poor approach play. The usually reliable driver has gone missing in recent weeks, though he still ranks 75th for the season in that regard and that big hitting represented in a ranking of 38th in driving distance.
He does excel with the short-game, ranking 27th for scrambling and 41st on the greens, which will come in handy this week if conditions do make things tricky. After a solid start to the year where Green made five cuts on the bounce from March-May, he lost form over his next six starts, missing every cut but has bounced back over recent weeks. He followed that with a 56th place finish in the Hero Open, where the irons went missing but he drove and putted well, with that 2nd place finish in a strong Asian Tour field last week a really excellent showing.
This was evidenced when he made his debut at Albatross Golf Resort in , finishing 3rd thanks to quality performances off the tee and on the greens. He then finished 58th the year later and can be forgiven a missed cut last year, as his game was in poor shape.
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